As long as the 200ma holds, there has been NO damage, and CREAF has simply completed the move that has been seen in the rest of the tech sector, and that we thought we'd skate by.
Most techs have made strong bounces off of the 200ma, and I expect CREAF to do likewise. We are at somewhat of an advantages in that CREAF seems lagged from the rest of the sector, so we can sit back and watch how this plays out with the rest of the sector.
A test of the 200ma is really the best thing that could have happened to the stock, technically.
Technically, yes, a further drop below the 200ma would look very bad. However, you CANNOT look at TA in isolation from fundamentals. This is what made me make my initial call on CREAF way back when, around 14. The stock looked horrible, but the fundamentals simply did not support a decline.
At 10, CREAF would be priced a 2X cash, and with a P/E around 4!
BTW, I do not discount the possibility that Chip "knows something", (not necessarily CREAF-inside information, but, hey, maybe his uncle works for ML). Of course, trading on such information would be illegal. I am not accusing him of this, but since he hides behind a pseudonym and doesn't even provide an e-mail address, he leaves himself open for such speculation.
Or he could just be lucky.
He could also be a whiz at TA, but since he is unwilling to share his methods with us, we have no way to evaluate that. |
