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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market

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To: robnhood who wrote (10332)12/5/1997 10:05:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (1) of 18056
 
RE: "but there is something very different about this rally"

Russell, I agree with you. Previous rallies have not been
accompanied by this extraordinary level of relief and hype
nor with a yield curve exhibiting schizophrenic tendencies
as in today's trading. Moreover, past rallies did not appear
to me to be expanding into slower economic growth forecasts.
These forecasts must be universally wrong or given a, say,
only a 30% decrease in real GDP, the market is willing to
pay for the equities which will undergo serious expected
P/E realignments to an even higher level. IMHO the market is
pricing in an incredible source of unknown earnings growth
or relying on the greater fool theory to sell stocks
at higher multiples than exist today. BWDIK.
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