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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1997 Short Picks

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To: Tom Markowski who wrote (7916)12/6/1997 11:38:00 AM
From: Sid Turtlman  Read Replies (1) of 9285
 
Tom: "As for the states...every PC sold today will be replaced in 3,4, or 5 years." I think the replacement cycle is slowing down. The low end computers, and old used ones, are fine for what most people use them for - e-mail, surfing the web, word processing.

This is being written on my P75 laptop; state of the art 2 years ago, in theory hopelessly behind the times now, except that it is fine for all my uses. When I bought it I expected that I would have replaced it before now, but I still don't see any reason to do so. I am sure that one of these days some software or new application will come along that won't work very well with this machine, and then I will buy a new one, but I'm just not sure what that would be. I think a lot of people are finding the same thing. Maybe some kind of video on demand system or something will stimulate the replacement cycle again, but until then, I wouldn't count on any great stimulus to box demand from that source.
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