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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC)

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To: Javelyn Bjoli who wrote (1584)12/7/1997 11:07:00 AM
From: FMK  Read Replies (3) of 27311
 
Javelyn, Your reference to ULBI and William Sharp's post reminded me of a comparison I had recently made. As of 3 weeks ago ULBIs line 1 had not been shipped from the Florida mfr. At that time I was told by a large shareholder that they have no additional lines on order, such as VLNC's high-speed Italian lines.

In a prior post, I stated my expectation that VLNC should have their line 1 plus 3 high-speed lines by the end of Q1 '98. Each high-speed line has over twice the capacity of the low-speed line and the first 4 lines therefore have the capacity of 7 times line 1 and therefore 7 times the capacity of ULBI's line 1.

This translated to 7 x 8.9/22.7 or 2.74 times the production capability on a per share basis. With Bill's added perspective using current share pricing, a dollar invested in Valence would buy $16/$6 x 2.74 or 16.4 times the solid-polymer production capability .

Timing for the 3rd Italian line is now uncertain, so looking more near term, Bill used only two Valence high-speed lines in his calculations to conclude that Valence had 5 x 8.9/22.7 or 1.96 times the production capability on a per share basis. A dollar invested in Valence would then purchase just a little over 5 times the solid-polymer production capability as a dollar invested in ULBI.

If ULBI is fairly priced at $16/share, and Valence spokesmen have confirmed that their high-speed lines are capable of running at full capacity, Valence must be tremendously undervalued!
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