Hi koan; Re: "2012 was the hottest year on record globally."
(a) It's arguable as to what year is the "hottest on record". If you take the word of the people who are strongly motivated to manipulate the data in the direction of "hot", then you will find that 2012 was not the "hottest year on record". Here, go to the NASA website that tracks temperatures (the one that Hansen worked at):
data.giss.nasa.gov
Now click on the "tabular data" for "global temperature". You get data starting in 1880:
Global Surface Air Temperature Anomaly (C)
...
1998 0.82 0.59
1999 0.57 0.63
2000 0.56 0.68
2001 0.68 0.67
2002 0.78 0.69
2003 0.76 0.75
2004 0.67 0.77
2005 0.86 0.78
2006 0.76 0.75
2007 0.84 0.78
2008 0.64 0.79
2009 0.78 0.79
2010 0.92 0.77
2011 0.77 *
2012 0.75 *
2013 * *
data.giss.nasa.gov
The 2nd column is the one you want. It's the "temperature anomaly" for that year. The last column is the centered 5-year average and they'll know what that is for 2012 when they have the data for 2010,2011,2012,2013 and 2014. The last two are still undetermined.
Examining the above data, you will find that 2012 was cooler than 2011, 2010, 2009, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2003, 2002 and 1998.
So in saying that "2012 was the hottest year on record globally" you're just wrong.
And where did you hear garbage like that? Every year that goes by and the predictions of the alarmists fail, they move the goal posts. It's some new definition of "global temperature" that set a record. But the one that they predicted, and the one that we care about who live on the surface of the earth, is the one I show above.
And (b) the above temperatures are *far* below what was predicted back in 1998. The climate scientists you are puting on a pedestal now are mostly the same ones that were completely wrong in 1998. And you have absolutely no evidence whatsoever that they're better at predicting now.
If they ever get good at predicting the weather you'll know it. Instead of telling you what the weather is like for the next 10 days they'll give it to you for 10 years. I think that eventually they will achieve this; the system has very long cycles (and you'll have to take into account surprises like the odd volcano). But they're not there yet.
As of right now the climate scientists have demonstrated that their models do not work. Someday maybe there models will work, but it took them 15 years to even *notice* that global temperatures had stabilized. Obviously they're incompetent.
-- Carl
P.S. Regarding the arctic ice, you are aware that the pole has melted complete many times in the past (before the satellite records)? And that it's been quite recent? And that there's more ice this year than last? And are you aware that this season set a new record for maximum ice ever seen around Antarctica (in the satellite history)? So why aren't you talking about Antarctica? Why are you talking about a non modern record in the Arctic when you should be talking about the record in the Antarctic? |
