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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options

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To: Darth Trader who wrote (30601)12/8/1997 8:50:00 PM
From: AlienTech  Read Replies (1) of 58727
 
>>AMAT looks like it wants to break out of its channel. No nasty gaps to deal with here!<<

Guess thats what soundview also thought.

first they downgrade then they cut a tad here and a tad there.. Gets more out of your shorts if you prolong the news..


Applied Materials (AMAT) 35 1/2 +1/2: SoundView cuts 1998 earnings estimates from $2.15 to $1.99 per share...


APPLIED MATERIALS INC. (AMAT) 34 3/8 -5/8. Shares of supplier of wafer fabrication systems and services to the semiconductor industry are trading lower today after SoundView Financial reduced its fiscal 1998 EPS estimate, although it kept a bullish ratings stance on the stock. Due to the company's high sales exposure from the Asian region, SoundView has lowered its fiscal 1998 EPS estimate to $1.99 from $2.15 a share. This latest estimate compares with profits of $1.39 a share in fiscal 1997 on revenues of $4.07 billion. However, the firm continues to rate the stock a short-term and long-term "buy," which has allowed the stock to limit its losses that might have resulted otherwise from the earnings cut. Given the current 1998 forecast, AMAT is currently trading at 17 times next year's projected earnings, well below its sales growth trend of 35% and projected earnings expansion of 43%. Even with the latest downward earnings projection revision by SoundView, the stock is very much undervalued as the concerns attached to the problems with Asia are severely depressing the stock. If AMAT is able to offset only a portion of its Asian exposure (currently it generates 53% of its revenues from this region), the company should be able to easily match market expectations and allow the stock to rebound. However, with Asia remaining the wild card in the earnings picture, this stock is not likely to recover soon, although its fundamentals suggest that its stock should be trading at least 25% higher.
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