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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (51713)9/20/2013 12:32:13 PM
From: E_K_S1 Recommendation

Recommended By
dealmakr

  Read Replies (2) of 78729
 
Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) - Sold 50% of remaining IPI shares to fund my MDR Buy (booked 41% gain)
McDermott International Inc. (MDR) - Started an initial Buy in this offshore platform construction company

Bought this based on this article. Looked at the company in the past at higher prices so now at lower prices w/ a BV at $7.21/share, a $ 7.47/share price could provide a good "value" entry point.

Frank Curzio: How to Play the Diesel/Natural Gas Switch and US LNG Exports

Another one worth considering is McDermott International Inc. (MDR:NYSE). It missed badly over the past few quarters. If you’re a technical analyst don’t even look at the chart. After one of its recent quarters, one analyst said that McDermott needs a McDo-over. But I love to see stuff like that when I’m recommending stocks, where the whole world has given up on a name. I think that’s what happened with McDermott.
McDermott builds the platforms for offshore oil companies. These are some of the biggest manmade structures in the world—bigger than the Empire State Building. This is a 100% pure play on this industry. Offshore drilling is going to see a massive boom. All the majors are drilling right now, spending a lot of their budgets on offshore drilling in Japan, Thailand, Brazil, China, even the U.S. The U.S. has quietly been opening up more of the deeper areas in the Gulf of Mexico and even Alaska.
The stock is trading at just 10 times earnings now because it got crushed over the last couple of quarters. But insiders are buying, which is something I like to see when a stock goes down. Goldman says the offshore drilling industry is going to grow 40% annually over the next couple of years. I like both the growth and value components in this name. I love that everybody hates the stock right now. Even if it comes out with bad news, you shouldn’t really see the stock get crushed. One good quarter will push it up at least 30% in the short term. Longer term, the stock could easily double from these levels as capex toward offshore drilling continues to hit record highs.
Maybe a 12-18 month hold before full value is reached. Insiders have been buying too (@ $6.74/share) so maybe the worst is over. EKS$ value shows a fair value of $12.70/share selling 60% below fair value at the current price of $7.47/share.

EKS
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