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Technology Stocks : Ultratech Stepper
UTEK 30.230.0%Jun 5 5:00 PM EST

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To: Dave Kahn who wrote (1807)12/8/1997 11:31:00 PM
From: mister topes  Read Replies (1) of 3696
 
Some of the analysis regarding UTEK that appears on this thread
is good. But at times their are glaring holes in the analysis that
are big enough to drive a truck through.
The biggest right now is the negative tone regarding E-Beam and
P-Gild products during calendar year 1998. Although public discussion
has suggested only three E-Beam machines plus 3 P-Gild machines
are on the drawing board for shipment during 1998, it is obvious
that if these products become hot items in the eyes of customers
they could start flying out the door. And at the huge prices these
advanced machines garner, we would be looking at earnings well above
First Call consensus estimates of 1.38 next year. It would not be
surprising to see UTEK ship many more than the planned total of
6 machines for the E-Beam and P-Gild product lines if things go
well. And Asia will not matter because probably all of these would
be sold in USA or Europe. It does not take a genius to figure
the initial E-Beam and P-Gild machines have been sold in the USA.
These machines have vast upside potential for sales and earnings
and could act as a piledriver on future earnings at UTEK.
With the initial E-beam machine going out the door this month,
I would say Mr. Short may be in for a very difficult experience
once the current short-term blahs in the group are played out.
And if UTEK comes in with essentially in line Dec. quarterly
earnings, Mr. Short may be calling 911 instead of his broker.
Once investors shift their attention to E-Beam and P-Gild,
which are now UTEK's bigtime future growth tools, Mr. Short
may need a doctor instead of a broker. Whoever has decided to
bet the ranch short on this stock in the mid-twenties may be
begging for UTEK shares at higher prices in 1998.
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