>> All big programs like this one start out with problems.
First, there has never been a program this big; but numerous smaller programs (Medicare, Medicare Part D, etc.) were rolled out far more successfully. Complicated systems problems, like TRA86, were rolled out with reasonable efficiency (although there was no website involved the internal systems requirements were significant).
These are not "normal" problems. They are problems only because of the scope of the legislation. Not because the website sucks (although that is true, too).
>> When Romney care started, they got a thousand sign ups in a month......12 months later they were at 180K
Your figures are quite not correct; in the first two months 18K had signed up; in the US after three weeks, only a few more have made it through the Obamacare enrollment process. And Romneycare didn't have the kind of mess Obamacare has and was a tiny fraction of the scope (the Romney care legislation was around 100 pages, IIRC, while Obamacare was close to 3K pages).
And Mass also had a highly competent governor at the time, while that obviously can't be said about the president.
>> They will turn around.
Maybe, but not in the way they would need to -- that is, you have to have a lot of young, healthy people enroll at twice what they would have paid a couple months ago (when they wouldn't enroll because it wasn't worthwhile for them).
We'll see, but my guess is the disaster is going to be worse than anyone expected. |