Good points, and, yes, your first point was also my point. If all nations on Earth doubled their debt tomorrow, it wouldn't matter, at least in terms of the currently accepted construct of the "fiat-currency reality".
I confess that I am not familiar with a "counter program under the terms of RO/RS=CF...", but I will read up on it soon.
I exclusively use a daily statistical switching system for leveraged derivatives and 2x positions that I developed over 20 years ago. I execute a single trade each day in which the equity markets are open. It has performed well for me, although it has sucked mightily during October 2013, at least so far so far. -ng-
My Blended Prediction System (results below) leverages two other systems that I developed "Ensemble Prediction System" and "Switching Prediction System" and it improves the results of both. Tomorrow, I am double long DJI, so wish me luck! -vbg-
I spend hours each day trying to find a way to statistically mitigate days with losses. I've read tons of literature over the years and experimented with countless theories such as Markov chains, Brownian ratchets, random walk hypotheses, and many, many more.
I own my own trading LLC and file with the IRS as a qualified trader under MTM accounting rules, which is very handy from a tax perspective if you do not already do so.
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