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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: tejek who wrote (749446)10/25/2013 2:40:31 PM
From: SilentZ  Read Replies (2) of 1576446
 
>How much greater? Well, that’s tricky, and even professional number-crunchers disagree. Political scientist Nicholas Goedert made the case this week that if Democrats go into the 2014 midterms with a lead on the generic ballot of 5 or more percentage points, they stand a pretty good chance of winning back the House. Nate Cohn, however, recently argued the Dems’ advantage would have to be closer to 10 points.

Well, the number's probably between there. But the question really is, what will it look like a year from today, not now? I mean, we got lucky as Dems with the timing of the Mark Foley scandal in 2006. If it had happened two months earlier, the Dems would've not won the House that year.

-Z
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