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Strategies & Market Trends : Guidance II

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To: 2MAR$ who wrote (1815)

10/25/2013 7:39:48 PM

From: 2MAR$

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FOMC Preview: the FOMC is widely viewed as a non-event for next week's two-day meeting (Tuesday, Wednesday) thanks to the ill effects from the government shutdown. The Fed is universally expected to maintain its $85 B in QE purchases. And while analysts don't expect any clear signals on the pace of asset purchases going forward, the statement will likely indicate possible downside risks to the economy from the shutdown. As a result, there's been some market talk that the statement could, in fact, suggest a possible increase in QE purchases if the economy or inflation faded further. Analysts don't subscribe to that view, but given the September surprise, analysts can't rule it out. However, analysts believe it behooves the Fed to merely reiterate the language from September that "Asset purchases are not on a preset course, and the Committee's decisions about their pace will remain contingent on the Committee's economic outlook as well as its assessment of the likely efficacy and costs of such purchases." The Fed should reiterate its forward guidance

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