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Strategies & Market Trends : Guidance II

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To: 2MAR$ who wrote (1831)11/4/2013 7:16:17 AM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (1) of 2077
 
The Street game plan APC, CRZO, PXD, TSLA, DDD, OPK, CVX, XOM, KO, ONTX, FLY, AHS, DATA, KRPEP, GRPN, DAL, SFY, REGN, AOL, CVS, WFM, XEC, SCTY, DIS


NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Get ready for the Twitter deal and get ready to do some buying, Jim Cramer told "Mad Money" viewers Friday as he laid out his game plan for next week's trading.

Cramer said if history serves, markets that are up 20% or more for the year tend to keep on rallying. So investors need to be ready to pounce when opportunities arise.

That's why on Monday Cramer will be watching three oil and gas producers -- Anadarko Petroleum ( APC _), Carrizo Oil & Gas ( CRZO _) and Pioneer Natural Resources ( PXD _). Any of these stocks could rally on increased production, but also fall if the price of oil dips on the day, Cramer noted. Tuesday brings earnings from Tesla Motors ( TSLA _), Regeneron ( REGN _), AOL ( AOL _) and CVS Caremark ( CVS _). Cramer said Tesla could rally on any overseas news, but he'd sit on the sidelines for Regeneron. He expects good numbers for AOL and CVS. Then, on Wednesday, it's Whole Foods Markets ( WFM _), a stock where the analysts are always too critical, along with Cimarex Energy ( XEC _) and SolarCity ( SCTY _). Cramer said he'd buy Cimarex if Monday's oil stocks do well and would buy SolarCity if Tesla does well. On Thursday, shares of Twitter will be priced. Cramer said investors shouldn't expect to get in on this red-hot IPO but he feels shares are worth a valuation up to $20 billion. Also on Thursday, Walt Disney ( DIS _), another stock worth buying on any weakness. Finally, on Friday, it's non-farm payroll numbers. Cramer said he doesn't expect the market to react positively to this news, so investors should be prepared for weakness. Speculation FridayFor "Speculation Friday," Cramer highlighted Swift Energy ( SFY _), a tiny oil and gas producer whose shares fell from a high of $45 a share to $30 last year to a scant $12.95 a share today. Cramer explained that Swift was once a pure play on natural gas and natural gas liquids, two areas of the oil and gas market that have been under tremendous pressure for the past few years. But like so many of its competitors, Swift is now making the transition away from natural gas and towards the lucrative oil side of the business, a move that's "better late than never," said Cramer.

Swift plans on selling off a big chunk of its gas assets in the first quarter of 2014, then focusing its efforts on drilling for oil in its 65,000 acres in the red-hot Eagle Ford shale in Texas. Swift is currently seeing a 100% success rate in drilling wells in the Eagle Ford, and with a fresh infusion of cash, the company will we able to rapidly pick up its production in the region


Swift last reported a three-cents-a-share earnings beat, but the shorts have been having a field day with the stock for years, explained Cramer, so it will take a few upside quarters to reverse the trend. That said, Swift's reserves are valued at just $4.76 a barrel, a far cry from the $95 a barrel oil currently sells for today.

Flying DeltaSome "anointed" stocks will just keep powering higher through the end of the year, Cramer told viewers. One of those stocks will be Delta Air Lines ( DAL _) as money managers continue to pile into this leading airline name.

After years of hating the airlines, Cramer said the facts changed, as did his outlook on airline stocks. Gone are the days when over a dozen carriers were competing on price. Today, only four major airlines remain. Of those, Delta shows the most promise as evidenced by its 70% gain so far this year. Delta last delivered a five-cents-a-share earnings beat when it reported, along with a 5.7% increase in revenue and operating margins topping 13.4%, better than any other carrier. Delta was also able to offer bullish guidance for the future as the decrease in competition will certainly mean a rise in ticket prices and fees. As with all airlines, Delta's balance sheet isn't pretty but it's also not as bad as it was. The company has $9.9 billion in debt, down from over $17 billion in 2009. That's still a lot of debt, Cramer admitted, but Delta seems committed to reducing it in order to bolster earnings. Add that to a new pro-shareholder stance and it's easy to see why so many money managers are piling into Delta to show how smart they are for their shareholders come Dec 31

In the Lightning Round, Cramer was bullish on Anadarko Petroleum, 3D Systems ( DDD _), Opko Health ( OPK _), Pepsico ( PEP _) and Groupon ( GRPN _).

Cramer was bearish on Coca-Cola ( KO _). No Huddle Offense

In his "No Huddle Offense" segment, Cramer opined on what he called a disturbing trend in the oil patch, the stocks of the major integrated producers getting pummeled, even when their earnings are actually pretty good. Cramer said when Chevron ( CVX _) reported, its stock got hammered because the company has simply become too large to be a quick grower and it can barely replenish its current reserves. Coming from such a base base, Cramer said there's little Chevron or rival Exxon Mobil ( XOM _) can do to generate excitement on Wall Street. That's why Cramer said he continues to like the independent names such as Pioneer Natural Resources, which offers investors not only accelerating production growth but also the possibility of a takeover bid from none other than the lies of Chevon or Exxon. Cramer's HomeworkIn his "Homework" segment, Cramer followed up on a few stocks that stumped him on earlier shows. He said Onconova Therapeutics ( ONTX _) might be interesting, but only after the results from its latest Phase II trials are completed. Cramer was not excited when asked about Fly Leasing ( FLY _), a stock that concerns him because this company has disappointed in the past. Cramer was more upbeat on AMN Healthcare ( AHS _), which delivered a two-cents-a-share earnings beat, news that sent shares up 11%. He said that things look good for AMN in 2014. Cramer also had kind words for Tableau Software ( DATA _), the cloud-based business intelligence provider that popped 9% on its earnings, only to drift lower on a huge secondary offering. He said that he'd pick up shares of Tableau on any weakness. Finally, Cramer said that Kroger ( KR _) remains the best of the traditional grocers.
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