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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives
SPY 677.58+0.3%Nov 5 4:00 PM EST

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (56202)12/31/2013 11:10:01 AM
From: FCom7771 Recommendation

Recommended By
paul ta

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Glad to see you went long bonds ... saw an earlier post from you suggesting you were real bearish which had me a little confused.

Think the current support level is huge - my guess is it holds and we are ready to embark on a significant bond rally. But obviously could be wrong about that ... The Fed has pretty much stated that they are going to keep rates low for a long time. Do you think they mean it ? Think history shows that they typically follow up on what they broadcast - as hard and difficult as that is to believe that they could be honest. I think they figure everyone thinks they lie through their teeth - so just tell the truth and we'll trick them that way.

Saw an interesting headline today which could argue for the opposite - i.e. that the Fed might be ready to let rates rise. The headline claimed that real estate prices - in some markets - were approaching all time highs. I found this news story very surprising to say the least. Sounded like complete BS. Seemed liked a completely contrived story intended to support the real estate market. I'll be looking to see if similar additional stories make their way into the headlines - or if this was a solo event. Given how orchestrated the main stream media is these days - actually quite scary - made me wonder whether the PTB were setting the stage for higher rates since RE clearly would be hurt badly - so let's throw some positive RE propaganda out there. After all, Fed Alan said perception is what counts, to heck with the facts.

Another observation I've made over the years is that key changes in market direction often occur with the New Year. Typically more so with the currencies and key internationally traded products. Think agreements and plans are made long in advance by Central Banks and large financial players that are often keyed to obvious significant dates. So keep an eye out for those moves - probably more likely next week than Thurs or Fri of this week.
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