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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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Brian Sullivan
Spekulatius
To: Bart Hoenes who wrote (53150)1/10/2014 3:25:16 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) of 78613
 
Obviously below the S&P return last year, which I had as 29% (you had as 32.4%).
29.6% is S&P index return, 32.4 is S&P return including (reinvested, I think) dividends.

I think personally I am worse at picking segments than I am at picking stocks, so I would not try to outperform by picking some kind of split between S&P, Dow, SmallCaps, etc. Especially, I don't think you can predict when biotech will outperform and when it will underperform.

I like Greenblatt's idea of equally weighted index ( RSP ) or value-weighted index ( PRF ). Both of them outperformed S&P last year. If I was to discontinue active stock picking, I would pretty surely pick one of these two funds, fire and forget. :)

Other people might have better luck picking segments though.

Good luck
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