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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: combjelly who wrote (764235)1/16/2014 4:45:44 PM
From: i-node  Read Replies (2) of 1573902
 
Your figures are screwed up. The 18-34 demographic, if representative, needed to be above 39% according to original White House estimates. The number at this point is 24% if we have been told the truth! a big if. This figure is below the level Kaiser had forecast as it's 'worst case scenario.'

Perhaps of even greater concern, however, is the relative health of the 24%. As it turns out, when you're getting only 24% of the young demographic, you're getting mostly young, sick people, not the healthy ones you actually need. So instead of supporting the risk pool, they may be contributing little, if anything on a net basis.

Insurance is one area where these estimates are not bullshit. If the actuaries say you need 39% it isn't going to turn out that you only need 30.
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