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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Bob A Louie who wrote (4779)12/10/1997 10:56:00 PM
From: Thean  Read Replies (2) of 95453
 
Another read on Texaco's announcement:

<<Texaco had planned capital spending of $3.5 billion in 1997, but overspent that by $300 million, the company said. Texaco has a total capital budget of $4.6 billion for 1998 and plans $26 billion for 1998-2002, of which 70 percent will go on the upstream sector, 26 percent on the downstream and 4.0 percent for other items. >>

I think
e (exploration) = upstream and
p (production) = downstream.
Any other view on this?

Now,

98 exploration spending = 4.6 x 0.7 = 3.22B

Total exploration spending in year 99 thro 02 = (26-4.6)x.7 = 14.98B

Possible Scenario
1997 exploration spending = 3.8 x ?
1998 exploration spending = 3.22B
1999 exploration spending = 3.42B (linear increase of 0.20 or +6.2%)
2000 exploration spending = 3.63B (linear increase of 0.21 or +6.1%)
2001 exploration spending = 3.85B (linear increase of 0.22 or +6.1%)
2002 exploration spending = 4.08B (linear increase of 0.23 or +6.0%)

Net, Texaco spending in the next 4-5 years on exploration is in the single digit, 6% plus range.

Question: have we been expecting a double digit spending growth from the majors like Texaco?
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