Hi Wharf Rat; Re: "Forecasts of global temperature rises over the past 15 years have proved remarkably accurate, new analysis of scientists' modelling of climate change shows.";
When you actually go to the link: nature.com you discover that what the article is *actually* about is "Here we assess one of the first probabilistic climate forecasts with a full uncertainty assessment 2 that was based on climate models and data up to 1996."
In other words, the article is not about "forecasts" it's about one forecast. One cherry picked forecast, LOL. Try again.
Your next reference "The hindcast skill of the CMIP ensembles for the surface air temperature trend" is not a test of forecasting, you moron, it's a test of "hindcasting". BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!! LOL!!! BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!! The fact that you don't know the difference between a forecast and a hindcast is good evidence that you don't know your ass from a hole in the ground, LOL. You really should leave this up to the pros.
Your next link is to "realclimate.org". This is not a peer reviewed journal article. It's one of the blogs you guys use to tell each other how right you are.
Your last link is to an IPCC article from 2007. Ooooops. You really meant to reference the 2013 IPCC report didn't you? And just what did the IPCC say about the accuracy of climate projections in 2013? That's right, they agreed with me you moron. What happened between 2007 and 2013? The pause extended long enough to show that the climate projections known in 2007 were *wrong*.
So let's get this straight.
Your evidence for why climate predictions are accurate consist of: (1) a journal article about a single (cherry picked after the fact) forecast, (2) an article on hindcasting (LOL), (3) a site that has no peer review and is famous for being tilted towards alarmism, and (4) an obsolete IPCC article.
No, you are not following science. You are twisting science to support your political beliefs. You're as bad as the "young earthers". What's more, as time goes on and the global warming alarmism looks stupider and stupider, you're going to be locked into your obsolete position. As time goes on, all those people who've you explained global warming to are going to look back and think of you as the idiot you are.
-- Carl |
