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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ)

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To: Evan Dimmer who wrote (3359)12/11/1997 12:16:00 AM
From: Zebra 365  Read Replies (2) of 23519
 
My guess as to 4th quarter results:

To keep it simple I only made a few assumptions, you may want to add or subtract your own. Don't flame me over my assumptions, I picked these but others may reasonably be made. Third quarter figures are from the 10Q.

ASSUMPTIONS:
- two milestone payments of $2mm each occurred in 4th quarter,
- G&A expenses, interest income, and tax rates are the same,
- cost of goods sold retains the same gross margin,
- 25% decrease in sales,
- all costs of moving to new facility are capitalized i.e. will show on the balance sheet, not as increased operating expenses

....................................THREE MONTHS ENDED
..........................SEPTEMBER 30, 1997.........DECEMBER 31,1997
(all numbers in thousands
except per share income)

Net Product Sales............$39,118....(- 25%)....$29,338
Milestone Revenue..................0..........................4,000
....................................---------....................---------
Net Revenues..................39,118.......................33,338
Cost of Goods sold... .....11,270........................8,452
....................................---------....................---------

Gross Margin..................27,848.......................24,886

Operating expenses:
Research and development..3,947........................3,947
Selling, general and
administrative................11,507.......................11,507
.......................................---------....................---------
Total operating expenses..15,454.......................15,454

Income (loss) from operations....12,394........................9,432
Interest and other income...........1,106........................1,106
............................................---------....................---------
Income (loss) before taxes.........13,500.......................10,538
Income taxes..........................2,241........................1,749
............................................---------....................---------
Net income (loss)...................11,259.......................$8,789
.............................................=======.......................======
Net income (loss) per common
and equivalent share...............$ 0.31......................$ 0.24


Shares used in the computation
of net income (loss) per share.35,772......................35,772

Zebra
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