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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: Sam who wrote (243951)2/4/2014 10:52:05 AM
From: neolib  Read Replies (1) of 541326
 
The problem is those 3R's are all about risk averaging, and have nothing to do with the system wide average spiraling upward. The author doesn't seem to understand the difference.

TWT what happens, but in general when significant change like the ACA happens, its difficult to predict both the transient effects, and the longer term shift in steady state. In that respect it is no different than what happened in the housing bubble, where "financial innovation" did radically change housing dynamics, and while at first everyone thought it was great, a few years later it proved to have a few major issues. The same could be true for the FED's monetary policies as well. Its very difficult to really understand the longer term consequences of major changes that haven't been tried before, or if the conditions are different.

The cost spiral I see for the ACA is that with mandated coverage (and assuming most accept that rather than paying the fine) one might as well get one's money back and consume as much health care as possible. Its the general problem with insurance and hence indirection as a payment process.
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