Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

SPY 670.92

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (57265)	2/13/2014 9:50:22 AM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (1) of 218576

I believe the K-wave was discounted as rubbish long ago. As a mathematical model, your chart has changed what makes something most laymen call a wave (regular periods) into a variable.... There are ways for waves to vary period, such as changing depths of the ocean or light traveling through different mediums, but that is rather technical. The point I wanted to make from the chart.... the 1928-29 chart has the RHS higher than the LHS and still above where the current market is on a percentage basis. Back to the K-wave chart... I suspect your model is closer to the truth as it has an expanding component with time and so it probably fits the data better... which is PROBABLY why it works better as a predictor. With K-waves, we need to know how deep the ocean is in the future, which we do not know so the model falls apart unless someone invents a way to model the changes in period with world events.

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