SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives
SPY 670.31-1.1%Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
Recommended by:
B.K.Myers
Blasher
GROUND ZERO™
To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (57534)2/26/2014 11:37:16 AM
From: Chip McVickar3 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 218554
 
Rounding bottom/tops are also called saucers and bowls... they are considered rare events... as they take a long time to form and must be slow and consistent in their gradual formation. The gold spot chart certainly meets that requirement.

Volume is another part of the confirmation which ideally should also be low and consistent in this gradual formation.
Certainly... the gold spot chart meets that requirement.

Interpretation of a confirmation of a rounding bottom seems to be rather subjective and how you measure the length and strength of the new trend set up by the rounding bottom is difficult and one must add other technical's to make any confirmation.

So back in July '13 we see a spike bottom that failed to break above 1487.20...
The spike up took out a low shoulder high at 1423.30 and then failed at 1434.00

A new rounding bottom formed in late Dec '13, but has not moved above a shoulder at 1361.80...

So my interpretation FWIW...
Price has reached a 1.618 fib at 1342-1343...
Price has nicely taken out all highs and lows throughout the formation
Price has not confirmed at sustained rounded bottom until 1361.80

If you consider the formation began at 1434.00 then price has just traveled a little more 50% of its journey
RSI has topped out... and as well a negative reversal is setting up

Finally, there is a Andrews Pitchfork median line at 1361.80 rising to 1375...
What price does with this median line will confirm the sustainability of this lovely rounded bottom...

Chip
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext