too many red lines crossed all along history, and especially w/i the past few months
there are more red lines in turkey, thailand, …
the minute outsiders choose to intervene, trouble baked-in
insiders generally can only fight intermittently, and then get quickly sorted out
ukraine hubbed out of kiev, w/o outside interference should run out of resources by a fortnight or w/i 30 days of get-go fighting, leaving little time for any, if any meant, ethnic this and tribal that
crimea should be quite stable, under rule of law, albeit iron law and armored regulations, but rule of law even if by making up rules
given the outside interference i suspect shall be enlarged and deepened over the coming weeks, the rest of the ukraine can become a failed-state quickly, and then devolve from that state
in the mean time, nasty terrorist attack in a tourist city of china
reuters.com
time to hold emergency meeting of the shanghai cooperation organization in response to imminent defeat of the usa by the taliban and their ilk |
