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Technology Stocks : Wind River going up, up, up!

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To: Snowshoe who wrote (2505)12/12/1997 2:18:00 PM
From: ANDY DUMAS  Read Replies (2) of 10309
 
Well VectorVest thinks otherwise:

VALUE: WIND has a Value of $24.40 per share. It is a measure of what a stock is currently worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings
growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance.

RV (Relative Value): WIND has an RV of 1.36. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 1.36 is excellent. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV ratings above 1.00 have attractive upside potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value is greater than Price, and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases, however, a stock's RV will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below Price. This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial performance and an above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling at a premium.
We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve above average capital gains in the stock market.

RS (Relative Safety): WIND has an RS rating of 1.19. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 1.19 is good. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are also considered, but
to a lesser degree.

RT (Relative Timing): WIND has an RT rating of 0.82. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT of 0.82 is poor. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend for the short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00. Should the price change dramatically, RT will notice the crucial turning point. When
warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a Price high.

VST-Vector (VST): WIND has a VST-Vector rating of 1.13. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an VST of 1.13 is good. VST-Vector solves the dilemma of balancing Value, Safety and Timing.
GRT (Growth Rate): WIND has a GRT of 31 % per year. This is excellent. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. GRT is updated each week for every stock. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently fall.

Recommendation (REC): WIND has a Hold recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in price.

STOP-PRICE: WIND has a Stop-Price of $35.60 per share. This is $1.40 or 3.8% below its current closing Price. VectorVest analyzes over 6,000 stocks each day for Value, Safety and Timing, and calculates a Stop-Price for each stock. These Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week moving averages of closing prices, and are fine-tuned according to each stock's fundamentals.

In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a "B" or an "H" recommendation if its price is above its Stop-Price, and an "S" recommendation if its price is below its Stop-Price.

DIV (Dividend): WIND does not pay a dividend. VectorVest focuses on annual,regular, cash dividends indicated by the most recent disbursement. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock
dividends, etc., generally are not included in Dividend (DIV).

DY (Dividend Yield): WIND has a DY of 0.0 percent. This is below the current market average of 1.3 percent. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.

EY (Earnings Yield): WIND has an EY of 2.08%. This is below the current market average of 5.13%. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER SHARE/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.

EPS (Earnings Per Share): WIND has an EPS of $0.77 per share. EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): WIND has a P/E ratio of 48.11. This ratio is computed daily based upon Price and EPS. P/E = Price/EPS.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): WIND has a GPE of 0.64. This ratio suggests that This ratio suggests that WIND is overvalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a popular measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT) to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to be
undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00, and vice-versa. VectorVest believes that RV is a much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of 1.36 for WIND is excellent.

DS (Dividend Safety): WIND has a DS of 0. On a scale of 0 to 99, a DS of 0 is poor. DS is defined as the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. Stocks with DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99 are above
average in safety.

RISK (Dividend Risk): WIND does not pay a dividend. All stocks in the VectorVest system that pay dividends are classified as having Low, Medium or High Dividend Risk (RISK). Stocks with DS values above 50 are above average in safety. These stocks are classified as having LOW or
MEDIUM RISK. Stocks with DS values below 50 are below average in safety and are classified as having HIGH Risk.

DG (Dividend Growth): WIND has a DG of 0 percent per year. Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's historical financial performance and the board's current outlook on
the future use of funds.

YSG-VECTOR (Yield-Safety-Growth Vector): WIND has a YSG-Vector of 0.00. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an YSG-Vector rating of 0.00 is very poor. VectorVest combines Dividend YIELD, SAFETY and GROWTH into a single parameter. YSG-Vector allows direct comparison of
all dividend paying stocks. Stocks with the highest YSG-Vector values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.
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