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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (184930)7/23/2014 6:53:12 AM
From: Dennis Roth2 Recommendations

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Energy Weekly: A Tale of Two Benchmarks — Brent Markets Have
Rebounded Slightly Yet Remain Oversupplied Whilst The US Gulf
Coast Market Remains Tight
21 July 2014 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

The recent decline in Brent prices has stabilized following a small recovery in the
N Sea physical market and geopolitics remaining hot, but the Brent market
remains oversupplied and there are few signs of recovery yet. The recent
weakness caught many in the market by surprise and investors have responded
by taking money off the table, with the latest COT report showing a 245-k lot
liquidation of open interest in ICE Brent over the last 2 weeks (some $26-bln).
The sell-off was likely overdone and flat price has recovered $2-3/bbl from a low
of $104/bbl last week. Yet at ~$107/bbl, the rolling prompt is still ~$2/bbl lower
than where it was before the Iraq crisis. Conversely, US crude markets are
looking tight, with the prompt WTI spread trading at ~$1.85/bbl ahead of
tomorrow’s expiry. The WTI-Brent spread has narrowed to ~-$4.70/bbl, its lowest
level since early-April.
Christopher J Main | Seth M Kleinman | Eric G Lee | Edward L Morse | Anthony Yuen
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