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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 260.77+0.2%Dec 24 12:59 PM EST

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To: davesd who wrote (13267)12/14/1997 9:40:00 PM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Re:Comapnies have to have money to invest in new technology...commodity chip makers have had poor cash flow for over 2 years....some of them are just lucky to be in business.

Dave,

Using this line of logic, nobody would be investing any $ in the internet since the term profit and internet, to this point at least, are mutually exclusive. AOL has really not made any $ and look at their valuation. Similarly AMZN, YHOO, LCOS ya-da-ya-da-ya-da.... In fact many of these firms do not actually yet know how they are going to make $ i.e. selling ads, selling names of customers etc... My point is that the risk of owning the equips at these prices is pretty good since to my knowledge, .35m and 200mm equipment will not have a good COO in only a year or two and the Fabs must be upgraded to remain competitive. I found this quote on another thread: "you're either compeatin' or being eaten." KIM that most of the brokerages have lowered their FY98 eps forecasts by .08-.16, approximately 4-8%, while the stock has been chopped in half. Does this make sense to anybody? Friends, this is what panic looks like up close....

Regards,

Brian
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