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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done?
VTI 335.42+0.4%Oct 31 5:00 PM EST
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To: Honey_Bee who wrote (2765)8/7/2014 12:47:36 PM
From: Boca_PETE1 Recommendation

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Honey_Bee

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HB, I too was an early Marketimer Newsletter subscriber, but I've thrown out all of those old issues and only have kept a few leading up to when I dropped my subscription quite a few years ago now.

As for Brinker going to "cash" after the 1987 cash and missing the rebound, I'm going to have to trust your memory on that point as I have no recollection of that happening. When I do remember is that the phrase "CAUGHT IN THE SWITCHES" applied well to Brinker's radio/newsletter calls of that time period from my viewpoint.

Moreover after he raised 60-65% cash prior to the year 2000 debacle, I have painful memories of being caught in the switches myself from trying to profit from Brinker's "counter-trend rally" short-term trade recommendations which I take responsibility for enhancing the pain by getting into those "Double Effect" ETF's. I don't think I'll be attempting that again, for sure.

I would observe that in the approximate 33 years I've been following Brinker's program, I saw Brinker's greatest virtue as investor education, not market timing advice. Certainly his advice to choose short maturity bond funds at this juncture seems quite appropriate.

For market timing advise, I now regularly read Sy Harding's Seasonal Timing calls and recommendations in considering my own timing decisions and sometimes fund choices. While he too is not always correct, I've become very conservative in my investment decisions at my age.

As for Brinker's disdain for "gold" investments, I wonder what his position will be if other countries gang up and somehow cancel the U.S. dollar "reserve currency" status. With the current obtuse inexperienced leadership in high places, I see bumbling into this situation as a scary real possibility. With their incomprehensible decisions lately, we may end up in WW III with tragic consequences for all of us given today's weaponry.

JMHO,

P
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