| | | Robov,
Have you ever heard of the book "The Fourth Turning" by to demographers named Strauss and Howe.
The premise is America repeats a cycle every 80 years give or take a few years. The issue is the American people and Bankers think in linear terms, however the ancients thought in cyclical terms. Using the cycle of 80 years and another I think may hold true of 13 years predicts some very scary things for the ending of the winter cycle. The book also talks about how in a persons lifetime they go into a new season of life. 0-20 years is your spring, 20-40 is your summer, 40-60 is your fall, and 60-80 is winter. Also, it relates to the generations in America with the Silent, Greatest, Boomer, X, Y, and Millienials. They each have a cycle and are impacted differently by the 80 year cycle.
By using 80 and 13 I discovered some interesting I will say corelations with history. You know Mark Twain said "history doesn't always repeat itself, but it sure does rhyme."
So here it goes.
1776 The United States declares Independence from Britain. (The start of the creshendo of events) 1789 The Constitution is ratified (a space of 13 years)
1781 Lord Cornwallis is defeated at Yorktown by General George Washington. Fast Forward 80 years to the Year 1861
1861 US Civil War Begins Now back out 13 years and you have 1848. What happened in 1848 you might ask that is important. I believe the Presidential Election of 1848 is the flash point that starts the end of the winter cycle. Why? Because the results of that election was the definative fork in the road between abolishonists and slaveowners that would result in the US Civil war.
Now fast forward 80 more years from 1861 and you have the year 1941. We all know this as the year WWII starts for America. Now cycles are not an exact science. WWII begins in December 1941 so it is almost 1942. Back up 13 years from 1942 and we have 1929. We all know what happens. The Great Depression and few years later the election of the most progressive President to date FDR.
Fast Forward 80 years from 1941 and you have 2021. Now I don't know what is going to happen but let's look at a possible rhyme. Subtract 13 from the year 2021. You have the year 2008. What happens? The financial collapse and the election of the most progressive President to date BHO.
So sticking with history rhymes we have a few things that look the same.
US Revolution- US throws off a foreign external power. Starts to experiment with a new currency regime of the contennintal.
US Civil War- US fights with itself-internal conflict. (States Rights are the real theme not abolishment of Slavery) Greenback is introduced.
WWII- US defeats foreign external powers-Axis. Dollar is now the world reserve currency.
2021?????? Seems like the US is sure leaning towards an internal conflict. Will the SDR be introduced as a new currency? Will this become a State Rights conflict with the Federal Government? Who knows. Will states come to blows or will it be resolved in the courts. Will the US go to war with an external power? Will the dollar be reset? These are all plauseable events. But one thing for sure is it sure "feels" like we are getting ready to go through something. If so, it will be the end of the Winter cycle, and the begining of the Spring cycle in America.
Now ask yourself, how did gold do in each of the above event sequence senarios? As each currency regime was instituted gold would be a constant. As the old regime is destroyed gold and silver are the only two store houses of value that would protect you from the debasement/destruction in each change.
BTW the book the Fourth Turning was written in 1994 and it predicted America would face a problem somewhere around 2006-2008 that would be the start of the resolution of the Winter Cycle. So I think they are definately on to something. GLTA! |
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