That's not what you wrote, but if you were referring to the quarter that has yet to happen, the false statement you made about this years' spike being lower than previous years (excerpted below) was premature and is likely to turn out wrong. We don't have the upcoming quarter's data to say either way. I clearly stated with each iPhone release and that October could certainly be better (meaning it's too early to draw conclusions... we have only a few weeks of data thus far). How much precision do you need? The historical pattern has been, following each new hardware release (let's define that as beginning the day after they're publicly usable and extending for the 4 months beyond) that global iOS share has performed better than the preceding run rate predated to the four month period ended after the last release.
Looking at September's boost, it appears slighter than in past cycles. That is not meaningless, but it's also not very meaningful - which is why I pointed out that October will shed more light. It is what it is.
Statcounter's data, for historical comparison. Spike is expected to happen in the quarter to come. Quite disingenuous of you. The 4S, 5, and 5S releases were all (give or take a few days) at the beginning of Fall, in late September. Your boxes are very poorly aligned, as they should begin at the date when the models actually hit the streets en masse and extend for the 4 months beyond that. Also, the 5C, and 4 and models preceding were released at various dates not perfectly aligned with this Fall pattern. Furthermore, iPad releases also affect the number. Look more closely and accurately.. it's clear that when a new iOS device hits the market, there tends to be global iOS share outperformance in the few months following. |