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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It?
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To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (174014)10/22/2014 9:11:07 AM
From: FJB2 Recommendations

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Chart of the day: The Iowa Electronic Markets odds of Dems losing Senate have increased from 20% last year to 95% now

Mark J. Perry | October 21, 2014, 10:32 am
The chart above shows the history of market quotes for the Iowa Electronic Markets contract “ 2014 Senate Control Market” back to January 2013. Between January and June 2013, the odds for the Democrats to lose control of the Senate after the November 2014 mid-term elections were only about 20%, and were as low as 15% in May 2013 (see red line in chart). After a lot of volatility in the second half of last year, the odds of the Democrats losing the Senate increased and stabilized at around 60% between March and July of 2014, before gradually rising over the last three months to the current all-time contract high of 94.8% this week
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