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Biotech / Medical : Ebola Outbreak 2014 - News, Updates and Related Investments
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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (504)11/3/2014 3:46:32 PM
From: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL  Read Replies (1) of 608
 
Fever is only one indication that you are sufficiently ill to act as an early warning sign. But as the NEJM article on PCR testing showed, PCR may not recognize ZEBOV until 2-3 days after the fever started. PCR is one of the most sensitive tests we have and is able to recognize the disease effects in the 1:10,000 to 1:1,000,000. Not sure where in that range it tests for ZEBOV.

But the more important point is that IF PCR cannot even detect the disease, it cannot be significantly contagious.

The clear lesson of ZEBOV is that it is only seriously contagious in the latter stage of the infection. That is when medical staff are getting infected.

The Duncan family example illustrates the etiology lesson - none of them caught ZEBOV.
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