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Strategies & Market Trends : Longer-Term Market Trends

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From: POKERSAM12/14/2014 8:02:54 AM
   of 3209
 
Some still call Elliott Wave Principle voodoo.
It is evident throughout history that whenever there are strides forward in any field of human endeavor the unenlightened and backward call it voodoo. How often were visionary scientist persecuted as witches and accused of being in league with the devil. The ignorant are always disparaging of any idea the conflicts with or goes beyond their dull minded view of the world.
There are still people in America who do not believe man ever went to the moon.
A funny story: I had a man tell me that space flights were all just made up and never took place. His evidence was that the space walk, when an astronaut got out of the space capsule and then returned, could never have happened.
He said, "You are telling me that a man got out of a capsule traveling 17,000 miles an hour and then got back in it. You get out here on the highway going 60 miles an hour and get out and see what happens. I guarantee you wont be gettin back in the car." WOW, What a genius!!!!
Elliott wave has been studied for over 8 decades. It is followed today be thousands around the world. In every institution involved in the stock market there are Elliotticians counting waves.
But yet even today we find those living in the darkness and calling Elliott Wave Principle, voodoo.
In reality I am glad that many choose to remain in the darkness.

From Wikipedia: I offer this for your enlightenment and continuing education.

Among market technicians, wave analysis is widely accepted as a component of their trade. Elliott's Wave principle is among the methods included on the exam that analysts must pass to earn the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, the professional accreditation developed by the Market Technicians Association (MTA).
Robin Wilkin, Ex-Global Head of FX and Commodity Technical Strategy at JPMorgan Chase, says "the Elliott Wave principle ... provides a probability framework as to when to enter a particular market and where to get out, whether for a profit or a loss." [11]

Jordan Kotick, Global Head of Technical Strategy at Barclays Capital and past President of the Market Technicians Association, has said that R. N. Elliott's "discovery was well ahead of its time. In fact, over the last decade or two, many prominent academics have embraced Elliott’s idea and have been aggressively advocating the existence of financial market fractals." [12]

One such academic is the physicist Didier Sornette, professor at ETH Zurich. In a paper he co-authored in 1996 ("Stock Market Crashes, Precursors and Replicas") Sornette said,

It is intriguing that the log-periodic structures documented here bear some similarity with the "Elliott waves" of technical analysis ... A lot of effort has been developed in finance both by academic and trading institutions and more recently by physicists (using some of their statistical tools developed to deal with complex times series) to analyze past data to get information on the future. The 'Elliott wave' technique is probably the most famous in this field. We speculate that the "Elliott waves", so strongly rooted in the financial analysts’ folklore, could be a signature of an underlying critical structure of the stock market. [13]

Paul Tudor Jones, the billionaire commodity trader, calls Prechter and Frost's standard text on Elliott "a classic," and one of "the four Bibles of the business":

[Magee and Edwards'] Technical Analysis of Stock Trends and The Elliott Wave Theorist both give very specific and systematic ways to approach developing great reward/risk ratios for entering into a business contract with the marketplace, which is what every trade should be if properly and thoughtfully executed. [14]

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