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Politics : Global Warming Free Energy Thread
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From: Brumar8912/16/2014 2:22:27 PM
   of 84
 
A look at oil price down cycles:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2757505-how-long-does-a-typical-oil-downcycle-last?ifp=0


....... it has historically taken up to 2 years for prices to complete a deep decline and then undergo a recovery.
............
Given that oil prices began to move lower in July of this year, a 20-month downcycle would mean that oil price may not recover until approximately Q1 2016.

  • The average peak-to-trough decline for the three corrections was slightly over 60%. For the current correction, a 60% peak-to-trough decline would imply a "bottom" price of approximately $45 per barrel. .......... The duration of the price "bottom" is approximately 3 to 5 months.
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