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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Elroy who wrote (54707)1/4/2015 9:12:04 AM
From: MCsweet1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Jurgis Bekepuris

  Read Replies (1) of 78626
 
Elroy,

I think that is was you who claimed that PSEC never did dilutive offerings. Look at these offerings that they did during the financial crisis. Look at how much lower the price is for the offerings in 2009 --> below NAV and dilutive to shareholders, money they will never get back.

3/27/08 1.15 million shares at 15.45
5/28/08 3.25 million shares at 14.9
4/22/09 3.2 million shares at 7.75
5/19,09 6.75 million shares at 8.25
6/30/09 4.5 million shares at 9

If you compare total returns between 1/2008 and 12/31/2014, ARCC returns 15.07% average annual while PSEC returns 4.47% average annually. That is why I prefer ARCC.

It is so beat up, I actually bought PSEC for a year end bounce, but going to sell this after January effect has taken place.

What could go wrong? CLOs underperform and keep getting marked down. NAV gets marked down. Another dividend cut. And, these guys feel the need to serially issue equity so they might have to do a rights offering if they can't do a secondary offering. That is what Wells Fargo analyst thinks will happen, a rights offering. Although a rights offering is "fairer," since it lets current shareholders participate, it is as dilutive and disastrous as a secondary offering.

So yes I am long and I think that PSEC is cheap, great discount to NAV. But I don't trust these guys.

I hope you appreciate the work I did for you ;)

MC
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