Bridging weather and climate Message Board

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Pastimes : Bridging weather and climate

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TideGlider

To: weatherguru who wrote (11)	1/28/2015 2:52:39 PM
From: weatherguru	1 Recommendation of 270

Accuweather is on board. accuweather.com A little insight into blown forecasts (I'm keeping this simple). In meteorology, these low pressure systems on weather maps advect cold air to the south and warm air to the north. It's called baroclinic energy conversions, and it eases potential energy. Because the Earth spins, the process of lowering potential energy actually deepens the storm...however there needs to be a proper three-dimensional alignment of upper-level and lower-level waves for this to happen. Call it constructive interference. If the waves at different levels line up properly along a front...BAM! More can go wrong than right, and things fizzle. It's tough. There are many degrees of freedom in the atmosphere. Whether or not something happens with the "tropical plume", we'll see. It's exciting for me to see the potential set-up. Meteorologists want to see the dynamics in action, of course never wishing harm on anyone. However I know it makes us look bad to get excited about a set-up and then have it fizzle. Alas. At least sports anchors make us look good with their predictions :)

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