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Pastimes : Bridging weather and climate
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To: weatherguru who wrote (38)3/5/2015 1:51:46 PM
From: weatherguru1 Recommendation

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TideGlider

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Well, NOAA says El Nino has officially arrived. Huh? Australian Meteorological Bureau says no...maybe later this year. Japan says it happened last year (2014). 30-day smoothed Southern Oscillation Index is 0, where -8 indicates El Nino and +8 is La Nina. I'm confused. So much for consensus.

noaanews.noaa.gov

Of course, what do the models say? Nothing, they can't predict an El Nino. Never have, never will. I thought global warming was going to produce super El Nino's. Now it's weak. Sigh.

washingtonpost.com

All glibness aside, El Nino is not a binary event. The Pacific is obviously in an anomalously warm phase; it's just not organized.
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