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Technology Stocks : Applied Magnetics Corp
APM 1.355-4.9%11:54 AM EST

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To: Mark Adams who wrote (11069)12/18/1997 7:25:00 PM
From: Frodo Baxter  Read Replies (1) of 12298
 
>There are better shorts available.

Name one. The bearish case for APM is that they don't have cash available to finance a transition to MR quickly enough.

Available evidence:
1) TFI revenue drying up double-quick (30%, for god's sake!) MR revenue minimal.
2) Questionable book value. Assets are tech properties in Malaysia. Write-downs coming for accelerated end-of-life.
3) Credit facility value has dropped due to depreciation of ringgit. Interest rates in Malaysia are high, as well.
4) Already leveraged with convertible debt offering. Will be difficult (read: expensive) to acquire further financing.

APM will not survive 1998 as an indy.
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