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Biotech / Medical : ImmuLogic

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To: Paul Getman who wrote (7)9/24/1996 5:00:00 PM
From: David Bleich   of 23
 
Paul:

This is great news. My clinical impression is that most patients with significant allergies will happily dose themselves 2-3 times weekly. The allegy season in L.A. has been vicious which highlights the need for better therapies. Every drug company gets out another me-to antihistamine(the most recent is Zyrtec by Pfiszer) which all have idenical pharmacology and really don't work that well. My old tried and true standby is Benedryl which really does have significant sedative side-effects. I think a target price of $18/share is ridiculously conservative. Look at Vertex Pharmaceutical, which has HIV protease inhibitor #6, behind Merck, Glaxo, etc... and an not so great pipeline, trading at $31/share. Then look at Genzyme which started back in 1988-1989 with ceridase (glucocerebrosidase inhibitor used to treat a relatively rare disease called Gaucher's disease). The market cap for ceridase was estimated to be about $15-30 million/year and that took Genzyme from a $7-8/share stock to ~$30/share. Now look what has happened since. I think that IMUL will be good for $25-30 with FDA approval for Allervax and then the new cash flow will let their already robust pipeline gush. Am I too optimistic or on the mark?
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