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Non-Tech : The unknown zone

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To: rdkflorida2 who wrote (1853)5/26/2015 9:53:23 AM
From: weatherguru  Read Replies (2) of 2174
 
Potentially big solar flare this wednesday. Strengthening El Nino and strengthening Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation signal large gradients around U.S. These large gradients fuel extreme weather events. It's part of the changing see-saw as we head to a new global cooling regime for the next 30 years (started in 2008). It's like a stock/index, most of the volatility occurs when long-term trends are changing, but the change doesn't happen overnight...it takes years.

Gulf is warm and prime for harboring a storm. Atlantic is too dry with Sahara dust + strengthening El Nino will not help formation of Atlantic storms, but I'm sure you heard Andrew in 1992 occurred during similar conditions (so never say never). That's why clauses are used...any development this season will most likely be around the Gulf or just off eastern Florida coast. Yes, it's hot in Florida...I wish there were more storms. Not many forming with the sea-breeze fronts. The lakes are 82F already after hitting 59F in the end of February (only 3 months ago).
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