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Technology Stocks : Microsoft - When to short
MSFT 512.56-0.8%2:41 PM EST

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To: Rich Goldsmith who wrote (40)12/20/1997 3:06:00 PM
From: Kashish King  Read Replies (2) of 96
 
Microsoft's days are numbered for several reasons and this DOJ action could not have come at a worse time. The PC is an open architecture although Intel appears to have a monopoly on the CPU market. That's actually a perception generated by their ability to make the fastest products at the lowest cost before any of their competition. There are probably a half dozen industrial giants that tried and failed to take on Intel for that single component. The achitecture is still open and consumers still benefit from Intel's lowest cost, highest performance products.

On the other hand, Microsoft owns the only practical "CPU" which is the Windows OS. They also control the architecture completely. Microsoft makes changes to the architecture to advance its own applications development and to further close the system from being infected with open standards. There is no way anybody can compete with applications which are tightly woven into a closed system. The browser is only the latest example.

I have to be honest, I could care less about the proprietary nature of their stuff and would make my life one helluvalot easier to have one platform because I develop software for a living. Unfortunately, Microsoft's architecture is badly designed, poorly implemented, archaic, inefficient, inchoherent and unproductive. That translates to extraordinay amounts of time and effort (read: cost) to develop software for their system and at the first sign of an alternative I'm gone. Guess what? There is an alternative and in 1988 you will see Java move into mainstream business, especially since the latest version is close in performance to more traditional development environments. Java is open as are all of the architectural issues surrounding it. Microsoft's foundation is already crumbling. The Roman Empire did not fall in a day.
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