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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (881520)8/21/2015 7:33:04 PM
From: combjelly1 Recommendation

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tejek

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Now you are just making shit up.This was actually tried in 2003 at facility that was suspected of housing centrifuges for enriching uranium. The Iranians stalled while they tried to clean it up. The investigation still determined that was what was going on there.

For your scenario to actually work, it would require the Iranians to secretly build a facility without us noticing it. They would have to secretly stockpile the uranium, enrich it to weapons grade and construct the pits. This would take years. All undetected. At any point, the slightest suspicion that something untoward is going on, that would start the clock ticking. Now the 24 days is a worst case, and the Iranians don't have control over all of the steps. So it is the worst case. Once a site is suspected, it is going to be monitored by a lot of means. Including satellites and drones.

Iran can stall long enough to only leave traces behind.

You have no clue as to the issues involved, do you? I am not an expert, but even I know that traces are all you need. Mass spectrometers are really good and can give you isotope breakdowns on very small samples. Enriched uranium can be detected very easily. Natural uranium is about 99.3% U238. Anything below that means that it has been enriched. Period. Full stop. And that can be done on a nanogram sample.

pubs.acs.org

While a nanogram is not a lot on a human scale, it still represents a huge number of atoms. So even on that scale, you can still differentiate the difference between natural uranium(99.3% U238), reactor grade(about 80% U238) and weapons grade(10% or less U238) with a very high degree of confidence. If you want to do that at all. Any handling of uranium in an undisclosed facility is a violation.

BTW, Amy's cousin is wrong.
armscontrol.org
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