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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 335.46-0.4%11:49 AM EST

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To: davesd who wrote (13756)12/22/1997 9:22:00 AM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Dave,

My opinion on DRAM profitability is irrelevant to the decisions being made by those who continue to invest in fabs to make it.

I avoid buying chipmakers.

I buy chip equipment makers.

I see nothing wrong with investing in the non-commodity, highly profitable, rapidly developing side of the business - I just need to take better advantage of it's manic-depressive nature.

(DRAM makers will again become profitable, once enough of the weaker hands drop out of the business. This will likely generate a shortage of supply rather than bringing supply/demand into balance. We will then have everybody and his dog (with a spare $2-3B) building DRAM fabs. ...which gets us back to where we are now. Losing the weaker hands is unlikely, IMO, to significantly impact growth at the equipment makers.)

Ian.
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