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Pastimes : Bridging weather and climate

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To: TideGlider who wrote (86)10/20/2015 10:50:33 PM
From: weatherguru3 Recommendations

Recommended By
FJB
lightshipsailor
TideGlider

   of 270
 
From the desk of settled science, peer-reviewed paper finds that man-made global warming would make California drought less likely. Where's the NYT cover story on this?

journals.ametsoc.org

"The model simulations show that increases in radiative forcing since the late 19th Century induces both increased annual precipitation and increased surface temperature over California, consistent with prior model studies and with observed long-term change. As a result, there is no material difference in the frequency of droughts defined using bivariate indicators of precipitation and near-surface (10-cm) soil moisture, because shallow soil moisture responds most sensitively to increased evaporation driven by warming, which compensates the increase in the precipitation."

A model will say what we want it to say.
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