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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (906756)12/9/2015 2:45:00 PM
From: Sdgla  Read Replies (1) of 1572207
 
Why do you ignore the data that proves you are wrong ? Makes you out to be just like these jihadi's that want to kill gay people and enslave women. They refuse, just like you, absolute proof that their beliefs are lies.

A Short Summary of Soon, Connolly and Connolly, 2015; “Re-evaluating the role of solar variability on Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since the 19th Century”
By Andy MaySoon, Connolly and Connolly (2015) is an excellent paper (pay walled, for the authors preprint, go here) that casts some doubt about two critical IPCC AR5 statements, quoted below:

The IPCC, 2013 report page 16:

“Equilibrium climate sensitivity is likely in the range 1.5°C to 4.5°C (high confidence), extremely unlikely less than 1°C (high confidence), and very unlikely greater than 6°C (medium confidence).”

Page 17:

“It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.”

Soon, Connolly and Connolly (“SCC15”) make a very good case that the ECS (equilibrium climate sensitivity) to a doubling of CO2 is less than 0.44°C. In addition, their estimate of the climate sensitivity to variations in total solar irradiance (TSI) is higher than that estimated by the IPCC. Thus, using their estimates, anthropogenic greenhouse gases are not the dominant driver of climate.



Dr. Benny Peiser’s notes on the UK Met Conference on Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change
Dr. Peiser’s notes on the 2005 UK conference are worth a read. He notes that Professor Yuri Israel, the chief climatologist at the Russian Academy of Science estimated that attempts to stabilize the world’s climate may cost 18 trillion US dollars! He encouraged adaptation and little mitigation. He was rudely and disrespectfully admonished by the IPCC crowd. Typical.



Bart Hall 2:49 am on December 2, 2015

Nice work. My first two degrees were in geology, and we rock jocks are a bit crazy because ten million years are basically pocket-change. It’s very difficult for people to understand that in the Eocene the Arctic Ocean was basically a Louisiana bayou with crocs instead of gators. Earth has been cooling rather hard for the last 60 million years, but good luck getting that across to most people, for whom understanding a mere 60 years is a bit of a stretch.

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