let's see here…
he posted on "scienceblog" as if that makes his "analysis" fact.
he makes solid conclusions based are hard core analysis like this:
" The methods, as I said, follow the rules handed down by the party. I don’t know the exact rules used this year in Iowa, but there are two methods that are generally used."
yeah, this is impossible to rig:
For the national convention, this simply translates into a number that is passed on via a form or electronic device, and the people standing in the room will have little to do with what happens next. The party will figure out who gets to go to the convention, and the number sent representing each candidate (if proportional representation is used) will be decided later. But the actual delegates that are actually advanced from each sub caucus will, in theory, go on to the next level (state Senate district, or US Congressional district, or whatever). So, typically, there will be a tiny little election within each sub caucus to elect their moving-on delegates. In my experience, this is often the most important moment in the caucus, because you have to send someone on you can trust, but you don’t know these people and suddenly you are faced with choosing them.
or this bizarre assertion…
In Iowa, over 11,000 delegates were chosen with the caucus method. About a dozen (according to reports, though I suspect a few more) of those 11,065 delegates were the result of a coin toss.
Iowa will send, using this process, 44 delegates to the national convention. They determined the number that would represent each candidate by using integer arithmetic to divide up the 11,065 precinct level delegates into 44 national delegates. So if there was a coin toss for a dozen precinct level delegates, then one tenth of one percent of that decision was influenced by random chance. The rest of the allocation was determined by the totally sane non-random process described above.
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Yet official results show the following:. As anyone can see, whatever clown wrote your link isn't from Iowa, most of it was guesswork and he didn't even know the number of delegates selected. The 6 coin flip delegates shifted to Hillary apparently ended up swaying the allocated delegate count by 8!
Delegates Allocated: 52/52
Delegates
Winner H. Clinton B. Sanders M. O'MalleyOtherUncommitted| 49.9% | 701 | 29 | | 49.6% | 697 | 21 | | 0.6% | 8 | 0 | | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | | 0.0% | 0 | 2 |
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