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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary
SPY 683.47+0.6%4:00 PM EST

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To: Robohogs who wrote (146)2/15/2016 8:34:57 PM
From: Robohogs  Read Replies (1) of 668
 
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Fear & Greed Index betaWhat emotion is driving the market now?


Last updated Feb 12 at 5:48pm

From late January:

Citi’s unique Panic/Euphoria Model is very deep in panic territory and highlights a near 97% chance for gains in the next 12 months, almost 20 percentage points above random outcomes. Indeed, current readings are worse than those seen in the 2007-09 global financial crisis period which is startling…

With the gap between the implied 10-year Treasury yield five years from now and the inverted Shiller P/E now at more than two standard deviations below its 44-year average, a situation seen in only 62 prior weekly occurrences, the chance of higher markets in 12 months has hit 100%, though exogenous shocks could alter those statistics. Nevertheless, the data is rather compelling.

blogs.barrons.com

I previously posted BAML gauges.

Opposite article though: bloomberg.com

Jon
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