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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary
SPY 683.47+0.6%4:00 PM EST

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To: Robohogs who wrote (163)2/16/2016 3:36:56 AM
From: Robohogs  Read Replies (1) of 668
 
New thought. We ARE in the 2008/2009 construct. It is being driven by flash crashes and merciless selling with no uptick rule. BUT here is what everyone is missing!! The broad mkt went into bear in spring. The economy not so bad so we don't get 50% bear. Broader mkt bear probably closer to 30-35 with big caps keeping indices to mid-teens to mid-twenties. There is a lot of damage which will take time to fix but using this nomenclature, we had a middling 10 month (slightly short) bear a la 1987. Like 2008, the low was late winter. I am going to remain cautious watching currencies, utes, transports, FATMAN and bios closely.

Jon

PS this does not mean all is clear but 2009 was awful Jan then up big.
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