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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: Sam who wrote (291998)	2/21/2016 4:34:37 PM
From: Sam	Read Replies (3) of 540798

No, the Polling Doesn’t Prove Bernie Sanders Won the Hispanic Vote in Nevada By Nate Cohn FEB. 21, 2016 nytimes.com One of Saturday’s biggest election surprises was the entrance and exit polling measuring Hispanic voters in the Nevada caucus. It found that Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton by eight percentage points among Hispanic voters, overturning months of conventional wisdom about Mrs. Clinton’s strength among nonwhites. But there are a lot of reasons to question the findings from the polls. They have a small sample of precincts and voters, and they simply were not devised to provide precise estimates of the Hispanic vote. The actual election returns in Las Vegas’s Clark County hint at a different story. Analyzed neighborhood by neighborhood, they suggest that Mrs. Clinton might have won the Hispanic vote by a comfortable margin. She won about 60 percent of delegates in heavily Hispanic areas, a result that calls the finding of the polling into question. more at the link [It seems like polls are more and more becoming like statistics--you can "prove" (or at least insinuate) anything you want with them in a variety of ways.]

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