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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Rmn who wrote (194)12/28/1997 6:26:00 PM
From: Rational  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
Ramsey,

There was an article by a Stanford professor posted here on Chinese system. True, the Chinese banks have a lot of bad loans (20-40%) but all those are internal. Thus, there will be no external pressure on yuan. But, the Chinese will see lower exports due to devaluation elsewhere. The Chinese are unlikely to respond to this by making a competitive devaluation because yuan is officially linked to HK$ and HK has succeeded in keeping her peg to the US$. Thus, in the long-run, Chinese will be better off keeping yuan as it is.

Sankar
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