hal: >> I don't know where you are getting a 70% figure from. I have something better than a URL--a friend who works there. <<
Does your friend have a URL or a paper in a trade mag? I would like to see his findings. Don't get me wrong, but I NEED to see a report or a URL that supports your friends theory. I base my theories on public information.
1) 80% of the Telco lines fall < 18,000ft from a Central Office.
2) Some of GTE's trial users can operate at 24,000ft from a CO.
3) MSFT has found that 1 out of 200 users couldn't operate.
Microsoft found that only 1 in 200 of its volunteers could not be served by ADSL, and Duke found only 15 percent that could not be served, using the existing copper. This is a far cry from the 35-40% that many figured would fall out from the ADSL service area due to bad copper, loading coils, etc. This is great news for deployment.
>> I'll tell you what he told me--its the target market and the deployment figures for that target market that matter. <<
For those out of the service area/over the engineering limits, GTE says that:
1. It will market to those within the limitations, meaning that it won't market or give the expectation of service to those falling outside the engineering limitations, and
2. It will try RADSL and other new technologies to stretch the capability beyond the technology limits. Duke said that some users as far as 24Kft were served in its trial.
I don't expect lurkers/posters to trust me. If this 30-40% value is true, you shouldn't have any trouble finding a single URL to support it... until later.
telechoice.com |